Austin FC are 1 percent away from nothing
One percent. That is where the models put your playoff chances, the fourth-lowest number in the league (1). Three matches left in the regular season, 31 points from 30 games, 14th of 15 in the Western Conference, goal difference -18.
The run that got you here: 0–0 at FC Dallas on Sep 20, 3–3 at home to San Diego FC on Sep 27, then 1–4 to Nashville SC on Oct 11, 1–3 at LAFC on Oct 15 and 1–2 to Vancouver Whitecaps on Oct 18. Two draws, three losses. The form line reads D D L L L.
Sporting Kansas City is the next shot
Sunday, Oct 25, away at Sporting Kansas City. That is the first of three games in eight days. Real Salt Lake come to Austin on Oct 29, then LA Galaxy away on Oct 31. If there is a path, it goes through all three.
Fan reactions
The subreddit is not ready to call it. One poster summed up the mood with "It's bleak, but it's not hopeless just yet", pointing at the 1 percent number and arguing the last three losses came against the top of the table. The other thread is already looking past the season, asking what the game day at Parmer Field at St. David's Performance Center is actually like. Playoff picture thread