Weekly Analysis

Three 1–0 wins, one bad afternoon: Olympiacos grind out a pattern

Three 1–0s and one bad afternoon\n\nFive league games, ten points, fifth of fourteen, +2 goal difference [(1)](https://www.athletiko.gr/ektos-telikoy-o-miloytinof-gia-ton-olympiako-mesa-entzai-kai-goyornt-104621)[(2)](https://www.athletiko.gr/me-mia-allagi-i-dodekada-toy-paok-gia-ton-teliko-toy-super-cup-104657). Olympiacos have won three of their last five in the Super League: 1–0 away at Asteras Tripoli on August 30, 1–1 away at Volos NFC on September 5, a 0–1 home defeat to OFI CRETE on September 12, and 1–0 away at Levadiakos on September 20.\n\nRead that list again. Three away results ground out by a single goal, one home loss to a side they should beat. A goal difference of +2 after five matches tells you exactly what kind of team this is right now: hard to break down, hard to break open. No blowouts in either direction.\n\nWinning 1–0 in Tripoli and 1–0 in Levadia is how titles get built. The OFI afternoon at home is the outlier that keeps nagging, because it is the one game where the pattern broke the wrong way.\n\n## Gonzalez is the number, and the number is loud\n\nArmando Gonzalez is the most valuable player in the Super League. The CIES Football Observatory valued him at €24.42m after the summer window closed [(8)](https://www.novasports.gr/sport/podosfairo/event/super-league-1/article/15136954/pio-akrivos-tis-super-league-o-gkonzales-tou-olympiakou-tetartos-o-ounaxi). That is not a projection built on hype, it is a market valuation sitting on Olympiacos' books.\n\nFor a club that sells as much as it buys, that cuts both ways. You have an asset. You also have a target. Every tidy 1–0 away win Gonzalez plays in makes €24.42m look cheap to someone abroad.\n\nThe wider list puts Zafeiris and Joel Roca in the picture too, with Ounahi fourth [(8)](https://www.novasports.gr/sport/podosfairo/event/super-league-1/article/15136954/pio-akrivos-tis-super-league-o-gkonzales-tou-olympiakou-tetartos-o-ounaxi). Olympiacos are not one good player carrying ten. The depth is showing up in the valuations.\n\n## The transfer detail that matters\n\nOlympiacos' interest in Nikos Christogeorgos could hand up to €600,000 to Panathinaikos through a sell-on percentage [(5)](https://sportime.gr/olimpiakos/olimpiakos-pos-o-christogeorgos-bori-na-feri-600000-evro-ston-panathinaiko). That is what makes this more than a rumour. A deal like this is never only about the player, it is about what a rival collects from it.\n\nSix hundred thousand is not a fortune. It is a reminder that in this market every move has a second recipient, and recruitment has to be sharp enough to justify the fee on top of the fee.\n\n## What to watch next\n\nThe first domestic trophy of the season is on the line. Olympiacos face PAOK in the Super Cup final at the Andreas Papandreou arena, tip-off at 20:00 [(1)](https://www.athletiko.gr/ektos-telikoy-o-miloytinof-gia-ton-olympiako-mesa-entzai-kai-goyornt-104621)[(2)](https://www.athletiko.gr/me-mia-allagi-i-dodekada-toy-paok-gia-ton-teliko-toy-super-cup-104657). PAOK got there by beating Panathinaikos, and their coach was blunt afterwards: \"The win is sweet, now Olympiacos\" [(9)](https://news.google.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?oc=5).\n\nOlympiacos will do it without Milutinov, ruled out of the final, with Mids and Ward available [(1)](https://www.athletiko.gr/ektos-telikoy-o-miloytinof-gia-ton-olympiako-mesa-entzai-kai-goyornt-104621). Losing the starting centre for a single-game final changes the rotation and who protects the rim.\n\nA trophy in late September does not define a season. Handing one to PAOK sets the tone for everything after it.

Sources

  • 1. athletiko.gr — Εκτός τελικού ο Μιλουτίνοφ για τον Ολυμπιακό - Μέσα Εντζάι και Γουόρντ
  • 2. athletiko.gr — Με μια αλλαγή η δωδεκάδα του ΠΑΟΚ για τον τελικό του Stoiximan Super Cup
  • 5. sportime.gr — Ολυμπιακός: Πώς δίνει 600.000 ευρώ στον Παναθηναϊκό
  • 8. novasports.gr — Πιο ακριβός της Super League ο Γκονζάλες του Ολυμπιακού – Τέταρτος ο Ουναχί!
  • 9. news.google.com — Τρινκιέρι μετά την πρόκριση του ΠΑΟΚ επί του Παναθηναϊκού: «Η νίκη είναι γλυκιά, τώρα ο Ολυμπιακός» - ProtoThema
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